The Role of Regulations in ZestMoney's Demise

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ZestMoney, was the poster firm in India's BNPL landscape. It shut its business operations in December 2023. The late stage failed buyout talks between Phone-Pe and Zestmoney and the reasons cited by the former was sufficient indicator. While its demise can be attributed to a confluence of factors, the role of regulations stands out as a pivotal catalyst.

Evolving Regulatory Landscape

The Indian BNPL space witnessed a rapid evolution of regulations in recent years, primarily driven by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The regulatory tightening is a part of global efforts to cut out regulatory arbitrage in BNPL.

Key regulatory changes included:

  • Ban on Prepaid Payment Instruments (PPIs) with Credit Lines: In July 2022, the RBI prohibited loading PPIs with credit lines, a move that significantly impacted BNPL providers relying on partnerships with PPIs for payment processing (Inc42, "Fintech Flashpoint: How ZestMoney's Collapse Mirrors the Turbulence in the Industry", October 27, 2023). This restriction hampered ZestMoney's ability to offer seamless BNPL services, potentially hindering customer acquisition and revenue (Forbes India, "Post-ZestMoney Closure: Finding Peace with BNPL Credit", December 27, 2023).
  • KYC and Credit Assessment Norms: The RBI also tightened KYC (Know Your Customer) and credit assessment norms for BNPL players, aiming to protect consumers from excessive debt and financial risks (Economic Times, "Fintech Flashpoint: How ZestMoney's Collapse Mirrors the Turbulence in the Industry", October 27, 2023). While these measures were beneficial in principle, they added operational complexities and compliance costs for BNPL firms like ZestMoney (Livemint, "ZestMoney-PhonePe deal called off over valuation", July 27, 2023).

Impact on ZestMoney:

These regulatory changes posed significant challenges for ZestMoney, contributing to its downfall in several ways:

  • Business Model Disruption: The ban on PPIs with credit lines forced ZestMoney to explore alternative payment channels, likely involving additional costs and operational adjustments (Economic Times, "ZestMoney's Loss Jumps 3X To INR 399 Cr In FY22, Operating Revenue Up To INR 138 Cr", October 27, 2023). This disrupted its established business model, further straining its already unsustainable financial situation (Inc42, "ZestMoney Gets A Relief As Existing Investors Pump In Capital", December 27, 2023).
  • Uncertainty and Risk: The evolving regulatory landscape created an air of uncertainty, making long-term planning and investment decisions difficult for ZestMoney (Business Standard, "ZestMoney founders resign weeks after PhonePe calls off to acquisition", October 27, 2023). This hesitation from potential investors and partners likely exacerbated its financial struggles and hindered its ability to raise capital (Economic Times, "ZestMoney to shut ops, lays off 150 employees", December 27, 2023).
  • Adaptation Challenges: Adapting to the new regulations likely involved significant resource allocation, potentially diverting funds from other critical areas like customer acquisition and marketing (Inc42, "Shareholding Pattern & People At The Top", December 29, 2023). This resource drain further hampered ZestMoney's ability to compete effectively in a saturated market.

Beyond Regulations: While regulations played a significant role, it's important to acknowledge other challenges that contributed to ZestMoney's downfall.

  • Unsustainable Business Model: ZestMoney's reliance on customer subsidies and lack of revenue-generating features led to heavy losses and ultimately proved unsustainable (Inc42, "ZestMoney's Loss Jumps 3X To INR 399 Cr In FY22, Operating Revenue Up To INR 138 Cr", October 27, 2023). These are arguments offered with the benefit of hindsight and no such observations came forth when the going was good.
  • Failed PhonePe Deal: The collapse of the proposed acquisition by PhonePe, which was concerned about ZestMoney's business model and regulatory risks, deprived the company of a potential lifeline and further exposed its vulnerabilities (Livemint, "ZestMoney-PhonePe deal called off over valuation", July 27, 2023).
  • Founders Stake was only 10.8% and perhaps they had diluted too much and too early.

ZestMoney's demise serves as a cautionary tale for the BNPL industry. While its downfall can't be solely attributed to regulations, their role in shaping its trajectory is undeniable. The evolving regulatory landscape poses challenges for business models, creates uncertainty, and adds to compliance costs. But the opportunities also lies in such evolution of an industry.

Annexure:

Financial Performance (FY2022) (Inc42, October 27, 2023)

  • Revenue: Grew from INR 89.3 crore in FY2021 to INR 145 crore in FY2022, a 62% increase.
  • Loss: Widened significantly from INR 125.8 crore in FY2021 to INR 398.8 crore in FY2022, reflecting mounting costs and unsustainable profit margins.
  • EBITDA Margin: Worsened from -143.86% in FY2021 to -278.98% in FY2022, highlighting challenges in turning a profit.

Shareholding Pattern (as of June 2022):

  • Prosus Ventures: 39.2%
  • Elevation Capital: 24.5%
  • Blumberg Capital: 11.2%
  • ZestMoney Founders: 10.8%
  • Other Investors: 14.3%